a
andrey1bar
A@andrey1bar
JoinedFebruary 2026
Skill Rating
1475
± 230 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1453global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1475global · ± 230 uncertainty
Reputation0.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · politics
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A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030.
1commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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The death penalty will be fully abolished in Israel by May 18, 2031.
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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Vladimir Putin will not be the President of Russia by May 8, 2027.
3commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
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Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
K
komapcA
NO
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Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.
7commitments
Yana Elisonian
NO
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Peter Magyar will officially assume the role of Prime Minister of Hungary by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
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Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
3commitments
RH
Roman Halfin
NO
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Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
Avihai Zarouk
NO
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Vladimir Putin will make fewer public appearances in the full calendar year 2026 compared to the full calendar year 2025.
3commitments
Polina Ber
YES
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Alexander Lukashenko will not be the President of Belarus by December 31, 2029.
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES
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The Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) will officially confirm that Russia violated the Chemical Weapons Convention in connection with Alexei Navalny's death by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
Mark Janwuf
YES
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The United Nations will grant Palestine full member state status by February 7, 2028.
1commitments
Mark Janwuf
YES