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DAATAN
K
Skill Rating

1683

± 255 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1454global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1683global · ± 255 uncertainty
Brier Score0.1332 scored · lower is better · limited data
Wtd. Peer Scoreneed 1 more peer-scored
Peer Score+0.012 scored
AI Score-0.162 scored
Reputation123.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Peer score by topic

Conflict+0.019(1)
Geopolitics+0.019(1)
Middle East+0.019(1)
Sports-0.008(1)
Football-0.008(1)
World Cup-0.008(1)

Glicko-2 Skill History

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A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026.

YES

Lionel Messi will score at least 8 goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup before the tournament concludes.

YES

The housing price index in Israel will be higher on December 31, 2026, than it was on December 31, 2025.

YES
3AI: 42±43%BusinessTechnology

Mark Zuckerberg will achieve a net worth of $1 trillion by December 31, 2026.

NO

Yoaz Hendel will run in the 26th Knesset elections as part of a party he leads or founded, and will not join another existing list.

NO
4AI: 93±27%politicsElections

At least one party will announce its withdrawal from the race for the 26th Knesset by the deadline for submitting candidate lists.

YES

Volodymyr Zelensky will meet Vladimir Putin by July 17, 2026.

NO

A memorandum of understanding (MoU) or a peace deal between Iran and the USA will be officially signed by June 20, 2026.

YES
2AI: 58±6%AITechnology

ChatGPT will be the most commonly used AI tool worldwide, including for code writing, by June 9, 2028

YES

The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.

YES
1AI: 47±24%Europepolitics

The European Union will admit at least two new member states by May 28, 2028.

NO
2AI: 48±41%SportsChess

Magnus Carlsen will return to compete for the World Classical Chess Championship by December 31, 2027, if Nodirbek Sindarov defeats D. Gukesh in a classical chess match with a score difference of +2 or more.

YES

Turkey will acquire nuclear weapons by May 6, 2029.

NO
3AI: 59±11%BusinessTechnology

The Trump Mobile T1 smartphone will be delivered to pre-order customers by December 31, 2026.

NO

By December 31, 2028, Montenegro will become a full member state of the European Union.

YES