Kron BM

@kron_bm

JoinedMay 2026

All34 politics14 Geopolitics13 Technology8 Conflict6 Middle East6 Business6 Israel5 Israeli Elections 20265

Skill Rating

1816

± 203 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

created(12)participated(34)resolved(5)

Correct

1Technology Business

Google will unveil a foldable model in the Pixel 11 series on August 12, 2026.

Kron BM

YES

Correct

2Geopolitics Energy

A nuclear cooperation agreement between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia will be signed by July 23, 2028.

Kron BM

YES✓ 0.040

Correct

3Sports Football

Lionel Messi will score at least 8 goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup before the tournament concludes.

andrey1bar

YES✓ 0.176

Correct

2Geopolitics Conflict

A memorandum of understanding (MoU) or a peace deal between Iran and the USA will be officially signed by June 20, 2026.

komapc

YES✓ 0.090

Performance

ELO Rating1476global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1816global · ± 203 uncertainty

Brier Score0.0815 scored · lower is better

Accuracy100%5 resolved

TruthScore+0.0129avg peer / prediction

Wtd. Peer Score+0.0129Metaculus-style decay

Peer Score+0.043 scored

ROI+16.8RS / resolved prediction

AI Score+0.725 scored

Reputation184.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Peer score by topic

Conflict+0.024(2)

Geopolitics+0.024(2)

Middle East+0.019(1)

Sports-0.008(1)

Ukraine+0.028(1)

Football-0.008(1)

World Cup-0.008(1)

Glicko-2 Skill History

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Kron BM

Google will unveil a foldable model in the Pixel 11 series on August 12, 2026.

A nuclear cooperation agreement between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia will be signed by July 23, 2028.

Lionel Messi will score at least 8 goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup before the tournament concludes.

Volodymyr Zelensky will meet Vladimir Putin by July 17, 2026.

A memorandum of understanding (MoU) or a peace deal between Iran and the USA will be officially signed by June 20, 2026.