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komapc (@komapc) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

k

komapc

A

@komapc

JoinedFebruary 2026

All112 Geopolitics62 Conflict35 politics29 Middle East27 Technology18 Israel14 Elections12 Business11

Skill Rating

1782

± 132 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

created(62)participated(62)resolved(18)

Correct

2Geopolitics Energy

A nuclear cooperation agreement between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia will be signed by July 23, 2028.

YES✓ 0.023

Wrong

2Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will engage in a significant military conflict with Iran by October 27, 2026.

YES✗ 0.462

Correct

1Geopolitics Conflict

WIll USA bomb Iran in 2025?

YES✓ 0.000

Correct

4politics Europe

Peter Magyar will officially assume the role of Prime Minister of Hungary by December 31, 2026.

YES✓ 0.014

Wrong

6Geopolitics Conflict

Volodymyr Zelensky will meet Vladimir Putin by July 17, 2026.

NO✓ 0.017

Correct

2Geopolitics Conflict

A memorandum of understanding (MoU) or a peace deal between Iran and the USA will be officially signed by June 20, 2026.

YES✓ 0.017

Correct

1politics Elections

Nikol Pashinyan will win the Armenian parliamentary elections held on June 7, 2026.

YES✓ 0.036

Correct

3Geopolitics Conflict

Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.

YES✓ 0.014

Wrong

3Geopolitics Iran

Formal negotiations between the United States and Iran will commence by December 31, 2026.

YES✗ 0.766

Wrong

3Geopolitics Conflict

Between April 15, 2026, and April 22, 2026, no international commercial passenger flights to or from Israel will be canceled specifically due to the conflict with Iran.

YES✗ 0.846

Correct

3Geopolitics Conflict

The active phase of the war involving Iran will not resume before June 1, 2026.

NO✗ 0.410

Correct

3Geopolitics Conflict

The conflict between Iran and its adversaries (e.g., US, Israel) will resume by April 23, 2026.

NO✗ 0.331

Correct

5Geopolitics Energy

The Strait of Hormuz will be fully closed to all international commercial shipping by April 9, 2026.

NO✓ 0.203

Wrong

1Energy Economy

The price of WTI crude oil will be lower tomorrow at least 10 per cent than today

NO

Correct

2Conflict Geopolitics

The major hostilities in the ongoing conflict in the Middle East will not formally end by March 8, 2026.

YES

Wrong

1Geopolitics Conflict

Bat Yam will not experience any rocket or missile strikes on March 4, 2026.

NO

Correct

1Geopolitics Conflict

The United States will conduct military strikes against Iran by March 31, 2026.

NO

Correct

1Geopolitics Conflict

The United States will not conduct a military strike against Iran by February 22, 2026.

YES

Performance

ELO Rating1439global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1782global · ± 132 uncertainty

Brier Score · Geopolitics0.24113 scored · lower is better

Accuracy · Geopolitics67%18 resolved

TruthScore-0.0097avg peer / prediction

Wtd. Peer Score · Geopolitics-0.0097Metaculus-style decay

Peer Score · Geopolitics-0.033 scored

ROI+0.88RS / resolved prediction

AI Score · Geopolitics+1.027 scored

RS · Geopolitics+15.8

Reputation104.3 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Geopolitics

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