Skill Rating
1506
± 290 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1515global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1506global · ± 290 uncertainty
Brier Score · Geopolitics0.4831 scored · lower is better · limited data
AI Score · Geopolitics+0.011 scored
RS · Geopolitics-23
Reputation77.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · Geopolitics
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Wrong
2ConflictGeopolitics
There will be no missile strikes launched from Iranian territory against Israel, nor from Israeli territory against Iran, during May 2026.
2commitments
Lev Kan
YES✗ 0.483