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Lev Kan (@null) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN
Lev Kan
Joined
April 2026
All
16
Geopolitics
13
Conflict
7
Middle East
7
politics
4
Elections
3
US Politics
2
Energy
2
Israel
2
+8 more
Skill Rating
1506
± 290 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating
1515
global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2
μ 1506
global · ± 290 uncertainty
Brier Score · Geopolitics
0.483
1 scored · lower is better · limited data
AI Score · Geopolitics
+0.01
1 scored
RS · Geopolitics
-23
Reputation
77.0 RS
global · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · Geopolitics
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created
(2)
participated
(13)
resolved
(1)
1
AI: 26±2%
Geopolitics
Energy
Maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will return to pre-conflict normal levels by September 30, 2026.
K
komapc
NO
2
AI: 86±6%
Geopolitics
France
France and Syria will announce the reopening of their respective embassies by January 7, 2027.
K
komapc
YES
4
AI: 69±4%
Geopolitics
Russia
There will be a military mobilisation in Russia by September 5, 2026.
K
komapc
NO
3
AI: 35±13%
Geopolitics
Middle East
A Jewish settlement, official or unofficial, will be established in Lebanese territory by December 31, 2026.
K
komapc
NO
3
AI: 63±41%
Geopolitics
politics
The US will officially recognise Somaliland by the end of 2027
Kobi Kai Calev
NO
3
AI: 64±3%
Geopolitics
Conflict
Will the Ukrainian army take back, at least temporarily, a part of occupied Crimea by December 31, 2026?
K
komapc
NO
2
AI: 53±10%
Geopolitics
Middle East
Lebanon will officially recognize Israel by December 31, 2026.
K
komapc
NO
4
AI: 60±4%
Geopolitics
Defense
The U.S. will formally approve an F-35 sale to Turkey by December 31, 2026.
K
komapc
YES
3
AI: 36±36%
Geopolitics
Middle East
Egypt will join the Abraham Accords by January 1st, 2030.
Kobi Kai Calev
NO
Wrong
2
Geopolitics
Conflict
There will be no missile strikes launched from Iranian territory against Israel, nor from Israeli territory against Iran, during May 2026.
Lev Kan
YES
5
AI: 61±4%
Geopolitics
Conflict
A ceasefire lasting longer than one week will not be implemented in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026.
Lev Kan
YES
2
AI: 35±2%
Geopolitics
Conflict
The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.
A
andrey1bar
YES
2
AI: 55±6%
Economy
Energy
The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $200 per barrel before December 31, 2026.
K
komapc
YES
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