Polina Ber (@null) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

Polina Ber

Polina Ber

JoinedMarch 2026

All18 Geopolitics11 Conflict6 politics6 Russia6 Middle East5 Elections3 Technology2 Europe2

Skill Rating

1662

± 290 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1532global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1662global · ± 290 uncertainty

Brier Score0.0001 scored · lower is better · limited data

Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored

Peer Score+0.041 scored

AI Score+01 scored

Reputation

created(4)participated(18)resolved(1)

4AI: 59±7%politics Elections

At least one party will announce its withdrawal from the race for the 26th Knesset by the deadline for submitting candidate lists.

YES

Correct

3Geopolitics Conflict

Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.

YES

3AI: 49±10%Geopolitics Russia

Vladimir Putin will not be the President of Russia by May 8, 2027.

YES

5AI: 63±6%Geopolitics Conflict

A ceasefire lasting longer than one week will not be implemented in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026.

YES

2AI: 68±9%politics Geopolitics

A significant public split within the Russian political or security elites will occur due to internet blockades by January 1 2029 00:01

YES

7AI: 50±5%politics Elections

Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.

YES

4AI: 52±9%Sports Chess

D. Gukesh will lose his World Chess Champion title in his next title defense match by December 31, 2026.

YES

4AI: 73±4%Economy Geopolitics

The Russian economy will experience a larger budget deficit as a percentage of GDP in 2026 compared to 2025, as reported by March 31, 2027.

YES

2Business Technology

Daatan will have a higher reported active user count than Kalshi in Israel by December 31, 2027.

YES

4AI: 58±15%Geopolitics Russia

Vladimir Putin will not die by December 31, 2026.

YES

2AI: 50±23%Tel Aviv Urban Development

The New Central Bus Station in Tel Aviv will be demolished by December 31, 2029.

NO

4AI: 57±8%Geopolitics Conflict

The government of Iraq will formally declare war on Iran or officially commit its national military forces to direct combat operations against Iran by December 31, 2026.

NO

3AI: 47±6%politics Elections

Benjamin Netanyahu will be appointed Prime Minister of Israel following the next general election, by December 31, 2026.

YES

1AI: 97±4%Geopolitics Middle East

Lebanon and Israel will hold direct talks on permanent security arrangements before December 31, 2026.

YES

3AI: 70±13%politics Russia

Vladimir Putin will make fewer public appearances in the full calendar year 2026 compared to the full calendar year 2025.

YES

2AI: 25±7%Technology Geopolitics

Telegram will be unblocked in Russia by the end of October 2026.

NO

Unresolvable

4Economy Currencies

The Israeli Shekel will strengthen against the Chinese Yuan by March 31, 2026.

YES

2AI: 56±4%Geopolitics Conflict

US forces will initiate a large-scale ground invasion and occupation of Kharg Island, Iran, by December 31, 2026.

NO