DAATAN@kron_bm
1502
Geopolitics only · head-to-head
Everyone starts at 1500. Beat the other forecasters on the same event and you take points from them; lose and they take yours.
Israel will require foreign airlines to submit in advance the details of pilots on flights to Israel for security screening, by October 31, 2026.
Performance
The share of resolved forecasts that turned out right. Ignores how confident you were.
How close the probabilities were to what actually happened: (probability − outcome)², averaged. 0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip, lower is better.
