Conflict

28 active forecasts

AI: 75±10%Geopolitics Conflict

Ukraine will successfully strike the Kerch Bridge by August 6, 2026.

79%

1AI: 57±14%politics Geopolitics

Bolivia's nationwide state of emergency will be officially lifted by December 31, 2026.

12%

6AI: 35%Geopolitics Conflict

Volodymyr Zelensky will meet Vladimir Putin by July 17, 2026.

42%

4AI: 43±15%Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will withdraw its troops from southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

48%

2AI: 30±25%Geopolitics Conflict

Ukraine will obtain more territory than it loses in its ongoing war with Russia by July 31, 2026.

53%

1AI: 80%Conflict Africa

A new military conflict will begin in Africa before December 3, 2026.

65%

1AI: 40±13%Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will engage in a significant military conflict with Iran by October 27, 2026.

41%

2AI: 30%Geopolitics Conflict

Turkey will acquire nuclear weapons by May 6, 2029.

29%

1AI: 75±15%Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

AI: 40%Geopolitics Conflict

The Houthi movement will lose control of at least one significant territory currently under its control by December 31, 2026.

57%

5AI: 34±35%Geopolitics Conflict

A ceasefire lasting longer than one week will not be implemented in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026.

75%

2AI: 84±11%Geopolitics Conflict

The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.

48%

2AI: 70±9%Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will establish a permanent buffer zone in southern Lebanon and official sources will confirm the dismantling of Hezbollah's military infrastructure within that zone by December 31, 2026.

20%

1AI: 25%Geopolitics US Politics

President Trump will order the deployment of US ground troops to Iran by December 31, 2026.

AI: 5%Geopolitics US Politics

The United States will formally withdraw from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) by December 31, 2026.

76%

3AI: 90%Geopolitics Conflict

At least one additional U.S. military aircraft will crash in the ongoing conflict involving Iran by December 31, 2026.

88%

2AI: 89±17%Geopolitics Conflict

The Israeli army will maintain a presence in Lebanese territory until at least December 31, 2026.

55%

3AI: 95%Geopolitics Russia

Vladimir Putin will not die by December 31, 2026.

60%

2AI: 28%Geopolitics Conflict

US forces will initiate a large-scale ground invasion and occupation of Kharg Island, Iran, by December 31, 2026.

54%

4Geopolitics Conflict

The government of Iraq will formally declare war on Iran or officially commit its national military forces to direct combat operations against Iran by December 31, 2026.

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