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Evgeny Ber (@null) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

Evgeny Ber

Evgeny Ber

JoinedMarch 2026

All25 Geopolitics15 Conflict9 Middle East7 politics5 Sports5 Chess4 Europe3 Technology2

Skill Rating

1612

± 183 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

created(0)participated(15)resolved(7)

Correct

4Geopolitics Russia

There will be a military mobilisation in Russia by September 5, 2026.

YES

4AI: 56±8%Geopolitics Defense

The U.S. will formally approve an F-35 sale to Turkey by December 31, 2026.

YES

5AI: 43±7%Geopolitics Conflict

A ceasefire lasting longer than one week will not be implemented in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026.

NO

Wrong

2Geopolitics Conflict

There will be no missile strikes launched from Iranian territory against Israel, nor from Israeli territory against Iran, during May 2026.

YES

2AI: 68±9%politics Geopolitics

A significant public split within the Russian political or security elites will occur due to internet blockades by January 1 2029 00:01

YES

2AI: 37±12%Geopolitics Iran

Iran will officially agree to give up all its enriched uranium by December 31, 2026.

NO

Wrong

4Geopolitics Conflict

A high-intensity military conflict will resume between Iran and US/allied forces by early May 2026, and the Strait of Hormuz will be open to international shipping by mid-May 2026.

YES

Correct

3Geopolitics Conflict

The active phase of the war involving Iran will not resume before June 1, 2026.

NO

Correct

4politics Europe

Peter Magyar will officially assume the role of Prime Minister of Hungary by December 31, 2026.

YES

3AI: 53±39%Geopolitics US Politics

The United States will formally withdraw its membership from the United Nations by December 31, 2026.

NO

Correct

2Iran Geopolitics

A ceasefire will be declared in the conflict involving Iran by April 30, 2026.

omri cohen-alloro

NO

2AI: 44±41%Geopolitics politics

Alexander Lukashenko will not be the President of Belarus by December 31, 2029.

YES

Correct

5Geopolitics Energy

The Strait of Hormuz will be fully closed to all international commercial shipping by April 9, 2026.

YES

4AI: 26±11%Geopolitics Conflict

All active armed conflicts globally will cease by December 31, 2026.

NO

2AI: 58±6%Geopolitics Conflict

US forces will initiate a large-scale ground invasion and occupation of Kharg Island, Iran, by December 31, 2026.

YES

Performance

ELO Rating1469global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1612global · ± 183 uncertainty

Brier Score · Geopolitics0.3176 scored · lower is better

Accuracy · Geopolitics50%6 resolved

Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored

Peer Score · Geopolitics-0.011 scored

ROI-6.67RS / resolved prediction

AI Score · Geopolitics-0.011 scored

RS · Geopolitics-40

Reputation66.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Geopolitics

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