k
komapc
A@komapc
JoinedFebruary 2026
Skill Rating
1715
± 232 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1545global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1715global · ± 232 uncertainty
Brier Score · Middle East0.2132 scored · lower is better · limited data
Accuracy · Middle East67%6 resolved
ROI+1.79RS / resolved prediction
AI Score · Middle East+0.471 scored
RS · Middle East+10.8
Reputation72.3 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · Middle East
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Correct
2GeopoliticsConflict
A memorandum of understanding (MoU) or a peace deal between Iran and the USA will be officially signed by June 20, 2026.
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
3commitments
RH
Roman Halfin
NO
—
The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
The death penalty will be fully abolished in Israel by May 18, 2031.
2commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.
1commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.
7commitments
Yana Elisonian
NO
Correct
3GeopoliticsConflict
The active phase of the war involving Iran will not resume before June 1, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
The Israeli army will maintain a presence in Lebanese territory until at least December 31, 2026.
No source link
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
The government of Iraq will formally declare war on Iran or officially commit its national military forces to direct combat operations against Iran by December 31, 2026.
4commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
All active armed conflicts globally will cease by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
Anti Spamer
NO
Correct
2ConflictGeopolitics
The major hostilities in the ongoing conflict in the Middle East will not formally end by March 8, 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
Wrong
1GeopoliticsConflict
Bat Yam will not experience any rocket or missile strikes on March 4, 2026.
1commitments
K
komapcA
NO
Correct
1GeopoliticsConflict
The United States will conduct military strikes against Iran by March 31, 2026.
1commitments
K
komapcA
NO
Correct
1GeopoliticsConflict
The United States will not conduct a military strike against Iran by February 22, 2026.
1commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES