k
komapc
A@komapc
JoinedFebruary 2026
Skill Rating
1715
± 232 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1545global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1715global · ± 232 uncertainty
Brier Score · Conflict0.3036 scored · lower is better
Accuracy · Conflict60%10 resolved
ROI-2.82RS / resolved prediction
AI Score · Conflict+0.482 scored
RS · Conflict-28.3
Reputation72.3 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · Conflict
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Volodymyr Zelensky will meet Vladimir Putin by July 17, 2026.
4commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
A new military conflict will begin in Africa before December 3, 2026.
1commitments
K
komapcA
YES
Correct
2GeopoliticsConflict
A memorandum of understanding (MoU) or a peace deal between Iran and the USA will be officially signed by June 20, 2026.
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES
Correct
3GeopoliticsConflict
Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.
1commitments
K
komapcA
NO
Wrong
3GeopoliticsConflict
Between April 15, 2026, and April 22, 2026, no international commercial passenger flights to or from Israel will be canceled specifically due to the conflict with Iran.
3commitments
K
komapcA
YES
Correct
3GeopoliticsConflict
The active phase of the war involving Iran will not resume before June 1, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
NO
Correct
3GeopoliticsConflict
The conflict between Iran and its adversaries (e.g., US, Israel) will resume by April 23, 2026.
3commitments
A
andrey1barA
NO
—
The Israeli army will maintain a presence in Lebanese territory until at least December 31, 2026.
No source link
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
At least one additional U.S. military aircraft will crash in the ongoing conflict involving Iran by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
56% YES
—
Vladimir Putin will not die by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
Yana Elisonian
NO
—
The government of Iraq will formally declare war on Iran or officially commit its national military forces to direct combat operations against Iran by December 31, 2026.
4commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
All active armed conflicts globally will cease by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
Anti Spamer
NO
Correct
5GeopoliticsEnergy
The Strait of Hormuz will be fully closed to all international commercial shipping by April 9, 2026.
5commitments
K
komapcA
NO
Correct
2ConflictGeopolitics
The major hostilities in the ongoing conflict in the Middle East will not formally end by March 8, 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
Wrong
1GeopoliticsConflict
Bat Yam will not experience any rocket or missile strikes on March 4, 2026.
1commitments
K
komapcA
NO
Correct
1GeopoliticsConflict
The United States will conduct military strikes against Iran by March 31, 2026.
1commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
Will significant new destruction by Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in El Fasher be reported by credible international organizations or major news outlets by December 31, 2026?
1commitments
K
komapcA
YES
Correct
1GeopoliticsConflict
The United States will not conduct a military strike against Iran by February 22, 2026.
1commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES