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Skill Rating

1715

± 232 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1545global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1715global · ± 232 uncertainty
Brier Score · Conflict0.3036 scored · lower is better
Accuracy · Conflict60%10 resolved
ROI-2.82RS / resolved prediction
AI Score · Conflict+0.482 scored
RS · Conflict-28.3
Reputation72.3 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Conflict

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GeopoliticsConflict

Russia will accelerate the development of its nuclear triad and other advanced systems for its armed forces.

Correct
1GeopoliticsConflict

The United States will conduct military strikes against Iran by March 31, 2026.

1
K
komapcA
1ConflictGeopolitics

Will significant new destruction by Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in El Fasher be reported by credible international organizations or major news outlets by December 31, 2026?

1
K
komapcA
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